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Paris Agreement
Paris, 12 December 2015
Introduction
The Paris Agreement was adopted on 12 December 2015 and came into force less than a year later, on 4 November 2016. Although the 1997 Kyoto Protocol also technically remains in force, the Paris Agreement has, in effect, superseded the Kyoto Protocol as the principal regulatory instrument governing the global response to climate change. The Paris Agreement seeks to find a middle ground – a “Goldilocks” solution – between the contrasting models of the Kyoto Protocol and the 2009 Copenhagen Accord. It does so along three dimensions:
The Paris Agreement’s hybrid approach to the issues of prescriptiveness, legal form, and differentiation allowed it to achieve virtually universal acceptance and hence be global in scope. After years of often contentious negotiations, the consensus adoption of the Paris Agreement represented a considerable achievement. Nevertheless, the initial round of NDCs submitted by parties pursuant to the Paris Agreement do not put the world on a pathway to limiting global warming to well below 2°C, much less 1.5°C, the temperature goals articulated in the Paris Agreement (this gap was acknowledged by the parties in the decision adopting the Paris Agreement, Decision 1/CP.21, para. 17). The ability of the Paris Agreement to achieve the objective of the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), namely, to prevent dangerous anthropogenic climate change, will thus depend on whether the agreement’s so-called “ambition mechanism” works as intended to ratchet up the level of ambition of parties’ NDCs over time. Historical context
The Paris Agreement is the third international legal agreement addressing the climate change problem. The first agreement was the UNFCCC, which established the basic system of governance for the climate change issue, including:
The second climate change agreement was the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which established an elaborate regulatory regime to limit emissions of Annex I parties. Important elements of the Kyoto Protocol’s regulatory approach included:
Following the adoption in 2001 of the Marrakesh Accords (Decisions 2-24/CP.7), which set forth detailed rules to operationalize the Kyoto Protocol, and the Protocol’s entry into force three years later, attention turned to the issue of what to do after 2012, when the Protocol’s first commitment period ended. In 2005, the parties to the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol decided to proceed on two tracks: one track to negotiate a second commitment period under the Kyoto Protocol, the other track to consider “long-term cooperative action” under the UNFCCC. It quickly became apparent, however, that relatively few countries were willing to accept further emissions reduction commitments under the Kyoto Protocol. The long-term-cooperative-action track therefore became the focus of efforts to broaden the regime to encompass a greater share of global emissions. This track was initiated by the 2007 Bali Action Plan (Decision 1/CP.13) and led first to the 2009 Copenhagen Accord (Decision 2/CP.15), then the 2010 Cancun Agreements (Decision 1/CP.16), and eventually, in transmuted form, to the Paris Agreement. Negotiating history
The negotiations resulting in the Paris Agreement were launched in 2011 by the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action (Decision 1/CP.17). The impetus for the negotiations was the desire of some parties – in particular, the European Union and small island developing States – to develop a legally binding agreement, in contrast to both the Copenhagen Accord, which was a political agreement, and the Cancun Agreements, which were adopted as a COP decision and hence lacked legal force. The Durban Platform established an ad hoc working group (the ADP) to negotiate a new instrument by 2015, but States were unable to agree on the legal form of the instrument, so the Durban Platform instead used the deliberately ambiguous formulation, “a protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force” (Decision 1/CP.17, para. 2). Unlike the Berlin Mandate (Decision 1/CP.1), which initiated the Kyoto Protocol negotiations and spelled out in considerable detail the substance of the instrument to be negotiated (the 1995 Berlin Mandate, Decision 1/CP.1, specified that the agreement to be negotiated establish quantitative emissions limitation targets for Annex I parties and no new commitments for non-Annex I parties), the Durban Platform left the substance of the Paris Agreement completely open. Notably, it contained no reference to the UNFCCC’s annexes or to the principle of CBDR-RC, instead simply stating that the new instrument would be “under the Convention” and “applicable to all Parties.” Important milestones in the Paris negotiations included:
As has been the pattern in the United Nations climate change negotiations from the start, progress was slow initially, and the ADP was not able to produce an initial negotiating text until February 2015. Nevertheless, throughout 2015, States began to submit INDCs and, by the beginning of the Paris Conference, more than 180 States had done so. During the Paris Conference itself, the COP president, French foreign minister Laurent Fabius, issued a series of draft texts, based on consultations with the different negotiating groups, which progressively narrowed the open issues, leading to adoption of the Paris Agreement by acclamation on 12 December 2015. The COP decision adopting the Paris Agreement (Decision 1/CP.21) elaborated some of its provisions and established a work program to develop additional rules, modalities, procedures, and guidelines to flesh out and operationalize the often-barebones provisions of the Paris Agreement itself. Negotiation of the “Paris Rulebook” took another three years and was mostly completed with the adoption in 2018 of a comprehensive set of decisions at COP-24 in Katowice, Poland, addressing mitigation, adaptation, finance, transparency, the periodic global stocktake, and the new implementation and compliance mechanism (Decisions 3-20/CMA.1), leaving only the rules for the article 6 market-based approaches left to be determined. Overview of the Paris Agreement
The Paris Agreement is a comprehensive agreement addressing all aspects of the climate change problem, with provisions on mitigation, adaptation, loss and damage, finance, technology, capacity building, transparency, implementation and compliance, and institutions. Key elements of what might be called the “Paris paradigm” include the following:
Summary of key provisions
A. Mitigation The Paris Agreement establishes both temperature and emissions goals that supplement the UNFCCC’s objective of stabilizing concentrations of greenhouse gases at levels that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system (UNFCCC art. 2). Article 2.1(a) specifies two temperature goals: first, to hold temperature increase to “well below” 2°C above pre-industrial levels; second, to pursue efforts to limit temperature increase to 1.5°C. Article 4.1 adds two emissions goals: first, to reach global peaking of emissions as soon as possible and to undertake rapid reductions thereafter; and second, to achieve net zero emissions in the second half of the century. To achieve these goals, article 4 sets forth a number of legal obligations on parties, including to:
Notably, these obligations apply to all parties, with the exception of least developed countries and small island developing States, which may develop strategies, plans and actions reflecting their special circumstances (art. 4.6). Rather than differentiate obligations in terms of categories of countries (such as “developed” and “developing” or Annex I and non-Annex I), article 4 allows parties to self-differentiate their actions through their NDCs. The Paris Rulebook decision on mitigation provides further guidance on the obligations of parties to provide ICTU and to account for their NDCs (Decision 4/CMA.1). Although ordinarily COP decisions are not legally binding, the article 4 provisions on ICTU and accounting provide that parties are to act “in accordance with” relevant COP decisions (technically, decisions of the Conference of the Parties serving as the Meeting of the Parties to the Paris Agreement, or CMA), making the Paris Rulebook decisions on ICTU and accounting binding on parties. In addition to establishing legal obligations, article 4 articulates several normative expectations, including that:
B. Market mechanisms Article 6 allows parties to implement their NDCs through cooperation with other parties. It provides for two such voluntary cooperation mechanisms:
As of July 2021, the negotiation of rules on the article 6.2 and 6.4 mechanisms were still ongoing. C. Adaptation and Loss and Damage In contrast to the Paris Agreement’s mitigation provisions, which establish comparatively precise goals and legal obligations, the agreement’s adaptation provisions are more general and, for the most part, are hortatory and expository rather than obligatory. Articles 2.1(b) and 7.1 articulate the general goals of enhancing adaptive capacity, fostering and strengthening climate resilience, and reducing vulnerability. The only obligation relating to adaptation contained in article 7 is to engage in adaptation planning processes and even this is qualified by the modifier, “as appropriate” (art. 7.9). Otherwise, article 7 simply recognizes that the need for adaptation is significant (art. 7.4), that adaptation action should be country driven and guided by the best available science (art. 7.5), that international cooperation is important and should be strengthened (arts. 7.6 and 7.7), and that parties should submit and periodically update adaptation communications, as appropriate (art. 7.10). Article 8 incorporates the Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage (WIM) into the Paris Agreement and subjects it to the authority and guidance of the CMA. However, the COP decision adopting the Paris Agreement explicitly provides that article 8 shall not provide a basis for any liability or compensation (Decision 1/CP.21, para. 51). D. Finance Article 2.1(c) of the Paris Agreement establishes the goal of making “finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development.” This goal goes well beyond the traditional focus of climate finance on the provision of support to developing countries. It encompasses private as well as public financial flows and calls not only for increasing green finance flows to support low emission technologies and climate resilience, but also for phasing out brown finance flows used to fund greenhouse gas emitting technologies (such as coal-fired power plants). Article 9 contains the only commitments in the Paris Agreement that continue to be differentiated along developed/developing country lines. Article 9.1 reiterates the commitment of developed countries under the UNFCCC to provide financial resources to assist developing countries mitigate and adapt to climate change, and article 9.5 requires developed countries to provide quantitative and qualitative information on a biennial basis about their financial support. In a break from earlier climate instruments, however, which were silent about the provision of financial support by other countries, article 9.2 seeks to enlarge the donor pool by “encouraging” other countries to provide financial support on a voluntary basis. Although article 9 does not specify any quantitative finance goal, the decision adopting the Paris Agreement extended through 2025 the collective finance goal set forth in the Copenhagen Accord – namely, that developed countries mobilize jointly US$100 billion per year from public and private sources for mitigation and adaptation in developing countries (Dec. 1/CP.21, para. 53). E. Transparency Since the Paris Agreement does not make parties’ NDCs legally binding, it relies on transparency to hold countries accountable for achieving their NDCs. Accordingly, article 13 establishes an “enhanced transparency framework” (ETF) involving self-reporting by States and both technical expert and peer review. The ETF is applicable to all parties, albeit with flexibility for “those developing countries that need it in the light of their capacities” (art. 13.2). It consists of three elements:
The Paris Rulebook decision on transparency (Decision 18/CMA.1) sets forth, in great detail, “common modalities, procedures, and guidelines” (MPGs) for the ETF, and is the longest decision in the Paris Rulebook, totaling 35 pages. It allows countries to self-determine whether they need flexibility based on lack of capacity, but carefully circumscribes this flexibility by: (1) specifying the provisions for which flexibility is available and the types of flexibility available, and (2) requiring that parties claiming flexibility specify their capacity constraints and provide an estimated time frame for addressing those constraints (Decision 18/CMA.1, para. 6). F. Ambition mechanism / global stocktake To achieve its goals, the Paris Agreement establishes an iterative process intended to increase ambition over time. Every five years:
The global stocktake is intended to play a key role in the ambition mechanism by providing regular assessments of how well the parties are doing collectively in achieving the Paris Agreement’s goals. It includes a review of not only mitigation, but also adaptation and financial support. Stocktakes will be undertaken every five years, beginning in 2023. G. Implementation and compliance Article 15 establishes a facilitative, non-adversarial, and expert-based implementation and compliance mechanism, governed by a 12-member committee elected by the parties. The Paris Rulebook decision elaborating modalities and procedures for the new mechanism attempts to strike a balance between those countries that wanted the committee to play a “help desk” function, involving the provision of assistance to countries having compliance difficulties, and those that wanted the committee to play a more independent role in policing compliance by parties. Rather than allowing only self-referrals, the Paris Rulebook allows the committee to initiate proceedings, but only in carefully circumscribed circumstances, including: (1) when a report has “significant and persistent” inconsistencies with the rules, (2) to consider issues that would otherwise escape review (for example, failure by a party to submit an NDC or mandatory report), and (3) to consider systemic issues. H. Institutions In general, the Paris Agreement makes use of the UNFCCC’s institutions, including the:
In addition, the Paris Agreement establishes its own Implementation and Compliance Committee (art. 15), as noted above. Influence on international environmental law
Although most of the Paris Agreement’s distinctive features have precursors or analogues, the intense international focus on the climate change issue will likely make the Paris Agreement unusually influential. Elements of the agreement that may influence international environmental law more generally include: Building ambition over time – The Paris COP was important not only in adopting the Paris Agreement, but also in creating a political moment that induced both States and non-State actors to come forward with more ambitious climate policies. The Paris Agreement’s ambition mechanism is intended to create similar political moments every five years, which focus political attention on the climate change problem and generate pressure to do more. Whether the Paris Agreement will succeed in creating these political moments remains to be seen. But this approach to generating ambition is one of the Paris Agreement’s most innovative elements and might be applied to other international environmental problems. Calibrating legal bindingness – The Paris Agreement successfully bridged the differences among States over the issue of legal bindingness by distinguishing the legal form of the overall instrument – the Paris Agreement is unquestionably a treaty within the meaning of international law – from the legal force of its particular provisions, which vary widely:
Balancing international prescription and national discretion – The Paris Agreement is also carefully calibrated in balancing international prescription and national discretion. On the one hand, multilaterally agreed rules play an important role in promoting reciprocity and accountability, which are crucial given the collective action nature of the climate change problem. On the other hand, protecting national discretion is also crucial, given the embeddedness of the climate change problem in domestic policy and politics. The Paris Agreement largely leaves the substance of climate policy to national discretion and prescribes procedural rules. But it also reflects quite innovative combinations of prescription and discretion – for example, by allowing developing States to self-determine whether they face capacity constraints that warrant flexibility under the enhanced transparency framework, but requiring them to explain the nature of their capacity constraints and to provide a timeline for addressing those constraints. Similarly, the Paris Rulebook gives parties discretion in choosing the quantitative and qualitative indicators they use to track progress in achieving their NDCs, but requires them to be transparent about the indicators they use. Nuanced differentiation – Finally, the Paris Agreement’s approach to differentiation is also quite nuanced, in contrast to earlier climate agreements. Only a few obligations are differentiated on a categorical basis, as was the case in the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol. Many obligations are not differentiated at all; others are self-differentiated; and others provide limited flexibility. The Paris Agreement’s calibrated approach to the issues of legal bindingness, international prescription, and differentiation allowed it to bridge seemingly irreconcilable positions and be acceptable to all States. It could potentially be used as a model in addressing other international environmental issues that involve significant domestic sensitivities. This Introductory Note was written in July 2021.
Related Materials
In December 2011 in Durban, at the seventeenth session of the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (hereinafter “UNFCCC”) (see procedural history of the UNFCCC), the Parties launched a process to develop “a protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force under the UNFCCC applicable to all Parties, through a subsidiary body under the UNFCCC”. In order to achieve this, the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action (the “ADP”) (see report FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1, decision 1/CP.17, para. 2) was established at that session. The COP decided that the ADP should “complete its work as early as possible but no later than 2015” in order to adopt said “protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force” at the twenty-first session of the COP and “for it to come into effect and be implemented from 2020” (see report FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1, decision 1/CP.17, para. 4). It also decided that the ADP should plan “its work in the first half of 2012, including, inter alia, on mitigation, adaptation, finance, technology development and transfer, transparency of action and support, and capacity-building, drawing upon submissions from Parties and relevant technical, social and economic information and expertise” (see report FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1, decision 1/CP.17, para. 5). It further decided that the process should raise the level of ambition and should be informed, inter alia, by the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (see report FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1, decision 1/CP.17, para. 6). The ADP held its first session from 17 to 25 May 2012 in Bonn. At this session, the ADP adopted an agenda dividing its work into two workstreams (see report FCCC/ADP/2012/2). The first workstream, on the 2015 agreement, focused on matters related to paragraphs 2 to 6 of decision 1/CP.17 (agenda item 3(a)), while the second workstream, on pre-2020 ambition, focused on matters related to paragraphs 7 and 8 of decision 1/CP.17 (agenda item 3(b)). The eighteenth COP, in 2012 in Doha, welcomed the work of the ADP and decided that the ADP would consider elements for a draft negotiating text no later than at its session to be held in conjunction with the twentieth session of the COP, in 2014, with a view to making available a negotiating text before May 2015 (see report FCCC/CP/2012/8/Add.1, decision 2/CP.18, para. 9). Throughout 2013 and 2014, the ADP conducted a series of round-table discussions, workshops, technical expert meetings and briefings under both workstreams, taking into consideration submissions from Parties and observer organizations as invited by the ADP. At the nineteenth session of the COP, held in Warsaw from 11 to 23 November 2013, the Parties requested the ADP to accelerate its work (see report FCCC/CP/2013/10/Add.1, decision 1/CP.19, para. 1). The COP also decided to request the ADP “to further elaborate, beginning at its first session in 2014, elements for a draft negotiating text, taking into consideration its work, including, inter alia, on mitigation, adaptation, finance, technology development and transfer, capacity-building and transparency of action and support”. It was also decided to invite all Parties to commence or to intensify domestic preparations for their intended nationally determined contributions, in the context of adopting a protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force, and to communicate them, by the first quarter of 2015 by those Parties ready to do so, in a clear and transparent manner to facilitate the understanding of the intended contributions. Furthermore, the COP requested the ADP to identify, by the twentieth session of the COP, the information that Parties will provide when submitting their contributions (see report FCCC/CP/2013/10/Add.1, decision 1/CP.19, para. 2(a), (b), (c)). At the twentieth session of the COP, held in Lima from 1 to 14 December 2014, the Parties acknowledged the work made in elaborating the elements for a draft negotiating text contained in the annex to the decision 1/CP.20, titled “Lima Call for Climate Action” (see report FCCC/CP/2014/10/Add.1, decision 1/CP.20, para. 5). The Parties confirmed that the ADP would complete its work as early as possible and decided that the ADP would intensify its work in order to make available a negotiating text before May 2015 (see report FCCC/CP/2014/10/Add.1, decision 1/CP.20, paras. 1 and 6). It also requested the secretariat to communicate the negotiating text to Parties in accordance with provisions of the UNFCCC and the applied rules of procedure. Furthermore, it noted that such communication would not prejudice whether the outcome would be “a protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force under the Convention applicable to all Parties” (see report FCCC/CP/2014/10/Add.1, decision 1/CP.20, para. 7). From 8 to 13 February 2015, the ADP met in Geneva to develop the negotiating text based on the elements contained in the annex to the decision 1/CP.20, titled “Lima Call for Climate Action”. The ADP updated and further revised the language of the annex to decision 1/CP.20 (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/2, paras. 14 and 15). On 12 February 2015, an advance unedited version of the negotiating text was prepared, which accurately reflected the proposals of all Parties and served as the basis for the negotiations of the 2015 agreement (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/2, paras. 17 and 20). The ADP met in Bonn from 1 to 11 June 2015 (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/3) and from 31 August to 4 September 2015 (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/4), to further develop the negotiating text. From 19 to 23 October 2015, the ADP met in Bonn to work on the draft agreement that would be submitted at the twenty-first session of the COP (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/5). The two workstreams revised previous work on provisions such as those regarding definitions, purpose of the agreement, loss and damage, transparency of action and support, global stocktaking, technology development, transfer and capacity building, and final clauses. On 23 October 2015, a draft agreement and draft decision on workstreams 1 and 2 of the ADP was adopted (see Draft agreement and draft decision on workstreams 1 and 2 of the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action, version of 23 October 2015). From 29 November to 5 December 2015, during the first week of the COP in Paris, the ADP continued its work on the draft agreement (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/6). On 5 December, the ADP transmitted the text titled “Draft agreement and draft decision on workstreams 1 and 2 of the Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action” to the COP at its twenty-first session (see report FCCC/ADP/2015/L.6/Rev.1). The twenty-first session of the COP took place in Paris from 30 November to 13 December 2015 and was attended by 196 Parties (see report FCCC/CP/2015/10). The Paris Agreement was adopted by the Parties on 12 December 2015 (see report FCCC/CP/2015/L.9/Rev.1). The Agreement was opened for signature in New York on 22 April 2016 and entered into force on 4 November 2016, in accordance with its article 21(1), which provided: “[t]his Agreement shall enter into force on the thirtieth days after the date on which at least 55 Parties to the Convention accounting in total for at least an estimated 55 per cent of the total global greenhouse gas emissions have deposited their instruments of ratification, acceptance, approval or accession” (see report FCCC/CP/2015/L.9/Rev.1). Selected preparatory documents Report of the Conference of the Parties on its sixteenth session, held in Cancun from 29 November to 10 December 2010, Part Two: Action taken by the Conference of the Parties at its sixteenth session (FCCC/CP/2010/7/Add.2, 15 March 2011). The Agreement entered into force on 4 November 2016. For the current participation status of the Agreement, as well as information and relevant texts of related treaty actions, see:
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